06.5.1 · Skill in Statistical reasoning
Uncertainty and variance
Accepting that every measurement has noise around it.
Metrics move randomly from day to day. Knowing the normal variance tells you whether a change is meaningful. Reporting a range instead of a single number is the honest default.
Resources
1- courseStart hereSeeing Theory: a visual introduction to probability and statistics ↗Daniel Kunin and others (Brown University) · 2017
Interactive visualizations of distributions, inference and confidence intervals. The fastest way to build intuition for the basics.
Tools
none yetTools for this topic are being researched.